DeVonta Smith Finally Gets the Offense, and the Schedule Doesn't Make It Easy
WIDE RECEIVERS
LAB REPORTS

Eagles Strength of Schedule
Philadelphia spent the entire offseason building toward one outcome: A.J. Brown gone, DeVonta Smith installed as the unquestioned WR1. It happened. Brown is a Patriot. The Eagles used a post-June 1 designation to split the cap hit, then went out and rebuilt the room around Smith with a first-round receiver, a second-round tight end, a trade for Dontayvion Wicks, and free agent depth in Marquise Brown and Elijah Moore. New offensive coordinator Sean Mannion inherits a pass-catching corps that looks nothing like the one Jalen Hurts had in January.
Four names matter most for dynasty. Smith is the new alpha. Makai Lemon is the rookie first-rounder expected to be featured immediately. Dallas Goedert is coming off the best statistical season of his career and still has to prove it wasn't a touchdown mirage. Eli Stowers is the Mackey Award winner drafted to eventually take Goedert's job, not share it forever. Here's how the 2026 slate sets up for all four, and where the schedule actually helps or hurts.
DeVonta Smith is the WR1 now, no hedge needed
Smith caught 77 of 113 targets for 1,008 yards and four touchdowns in 2025, good for WR20 in half-PPR, and he did that while still splitting the room with Brown. That's the baseline. Now strip Brown out entirely. The Eagles didn't draft Lemon to be a true target-share threat as a rookie slot receiver, and the team's own beat writers have already penciled Smith in as the offense's top read. At 27, in year six, with a new play-caller who has talked about spreading the ball around Saquon Barkley and Goedert too, Smith isn't walking into a 150-target season. But he doesn't need one. He's the only proven, healthy, every-down separator left on this roster, and touchdown regression alone (four scores on a 27% catch rate inside a run-first offense) should push him back toward his career mean of 7-8 a year.
The four-touchdown season is the outlier, not the receptions and yards. Bet on the raw volume holding and the scoring correcting upward.
Makai Lemon walks into a real role, but the runway is bumpy
The Biletnikoff winner caught 79 passes for 1,156 yards and 11 touchdowns at USC and was pulled up three spots by Philadelphia, who gave up two Day 3 picks to get him. Mannion has already called him a plus route runner who "catches the ball really well" and plays with toughness, and beat reporters have Lemon projected as the Eagles' likely WR2 behind Smith. He ran 75% of his college snaps from the slot, which lines up cleanly with what a post-Brown Philadelphia offense needs.
The catch: training camp reports have flagged Lemon as quiet early, with Smith and, notably, the trade-acquisition Wicks drawing more of the buzz through the first sessions. That's one camp cycle and means very little in August. But it's a signal that Lemon isn't walking in as a plug-and-play WR2 from day one. He's the long-term bet in this room, not necessarily the Week 1 stat leader. Dynasty managers should hold, not chase a hot camp report either direction.
Dallas Goedert's touchdown rate is the whole conversation
Goedert set career highs across the board in 2025: 60 catches on 78 targets, 591 yards, and 11 touchdowns, finishing as fantasy's TE7 in PPR despite missing two games. Look closer and the yards per catch (9.9) was a career low, and he'd scored more than five touchdowns in a season exactly zero times before last year. Eleven scores on that target share is not sustainable. RotoWire has already flagged him for "major regression" in that category even in a good 2026.
He's still the Eagles' clear TE1 heading into the year, and the front office signed him to a one-year deal specifically to keep that true. Stowers profiles as a big slot piece who'll work mostly out of multi-TE sets early, not a Day 1 threat to Goedert's snaps. That buys Goedert one more season as a startable TE in a crowded room, but the touchdown well is going to run dry, and the yardage wasn't there to back it up when it does.
Eli Stowers is the best athlete on this roster, not the immediate starter
Stowers set tight end combine records in broad jump and tied for the position's second-fastest 40, and he backed the testing up with production: 62 catches, 769 yards, and four touchdowns in his final Vanderbilt season, a Mackey Award, and a PFF receiving grade that ranked sixth nationally among FBS tight ends. Scouts compare him to Mike Gesicki, a big-bodied mismatch piece who wins in space rather than in-line.
That's exactly the problem for his 2026 fantasy value. He graded out as a poor blocker in college and profiles as a "power slot," which means Philadelphia will likely keep him in two-tight-end sets next to Goedert rather than hand him a starting job outright. The talent says future TE1 in this offense. The role says redshirt-adjacent rookie season, with spike weeks tied to two-TE personnel packages rather than a weekly target floor. Buy the ceiling. Don't expect the production in Year 1.
Schedule check: the division is a wash, the road slate isn't
Within the NFC East, the range is tight. Washington grades as the 16th-toughest matchup against receivers in Week 8, a defense that added Nick Cross and six other regulars this offseason for a net gain of starter share. Dallas is the polar opposite: 2nd-friendliest of 32, a unit that allowed the most PPR points to wide receivers in the league last season and only got marginally tougher after losing seven defensive regulars this offseason. Split the difference and the division isn't doing this receiving corps many favors, but it isn't sinking them either.
The non-division slate is where the real spread shows up. Houston in Week 16 grades as the 30th-toughest matchup in the league, a defense that got stingier after adding Reed Blankenship this offseason. Chicago in Week 3 is the inverse: the single easiest matchup against wide receivers of any team on the schedule, after the Bears lost eight defensive regulars including both starting safeties from a season ago. Get right early against a gutted Chicago secondary, then brace for December.
The fantasy playoffs are brutal, and Week 16 is the problem
This is the number that should worry anyone rostering Smith, Lemon, Goedert, or Stowers for a title run. The three-week fantasy playoff stretch (Weeks 15 through 17) averages out to the 30th-friendliest slate of wide receiver matchups in the entire league, out of 32 teams. That's not a soft patch, that's close to the toughest possible closing stretch a fantasy roster could draw.
Seattle in Week 15 grades 28th of 32, a defense trending tougher in recent form even after losing two regulars. Houston shows up again in Week 16, still the league's 30th-toughest matchup and now sitting squarely in fantasy semifinal week. San Francisco in Week 17 is the only real relief, a middle-of-the-pack 13th-ranked matchup, but by then a championship may already be decided by how the roster survived Weeks 15 and 16. If this receiving corps is going to carry a fantasy title, it has to do the heavy lifting well before the playoffs start, because the schedule stops helping right when it matters most.
Bottom line
Smith is a locked-in WR2 with WR1 target volume and touchdown upside that the raw stats undersold last year. Lemon is a long-term buy whose rookie-year role is real but not yet loud, worth patience over panic either way camp reports break. Goedert is a sell-high name: the touchdowns aren't repeating and the yardage never supported the finish. Stowers is the highest-ceiling asset in this whole group and the one most likely to disappoint in Year 1 raw numbers while still being the right dynasty stash for 2027 and beyond.
Explore The Lab.









